Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 6.561639 7.650076 8.827026 10.189889 11.720014 13.380308 15.313387
2025-11-30 5.043101 6.480574 8.155910 10.235604 12.729692 15.605774 19.153046
2025-12-07 4.125195 5.721712 7.693201 10.271667 13.516592 17.424490 22.442074
2025-12-14 3.511029 5.200992 7.392978 10.386923 14.305478 19.191174 25.665607
2025-12-21 3.007958 4.734504 7.076448 10.401643 14.906293 20.693698 28.572605
2025-12-28 2.699619 4.484072 7.001427 10.697123 15.852282 22.643909 32.098705
2026-01-04 2.417269 4.227666 6.878489 10.893540 16.647218 24.402842 35.419327
2026-01-11 2.139210 3.937790 6.669322 10.933480 17.203525 25.839926 38.341062
2026-01-18 1.820243 3.538933 6.251919 10.622455 17.221361 26.512917 40.220617
2026-01-25 1.565571 3.210719 5.906308 10.380768 17.306804 27.260552 42.204954
2026-02-01 1.341646 2.904069 5.561376 10.104346 17.308889 27.869149 43.992289
2026-02-08 1.153907 2.635818 5.250593 9.850924 17.318290 28.471234 45.771147
2026-02-15 0.975113 2.360472 4.902552 9.511769 17.176586 28.847590 47.246111
2026-02-22 0.877645 2.231574 4.798862 9.571138 17.665461 30.184800 50.179094
2026-03-01 0.788515 2.106379 4.688103 9.605946 18.108918 31.460292 53.051055
2026-03-08 0.718602 2.011851 4.624296 9.715095 18.674309 32.937695 56.266565
2026-03-15 0.645736 1.899299 4.513747 9.729033 19.074514 34.162372 59.123423
2026-03-22 0.607769 1.862274 4.548191 10.008848 19.937388 36.147060 63.209371
2026-03-29 0.563992 1.804495 4.534369 10.194894 20.642120 37.895250 66.968249
2026-04-05 0.511256 1.715729 4.447070 10.232729 21.083948 39.224777 70.096497
2026-04-12 0.437743 1.559395 4.199057 9.938131 20.913514 39.533758 71.597260
2026-04-19 0.378235 1.429117 3.993181 9.709269 20.845091 40.001926 73.357075
2026-04-26 0.323969 1.302206 3.780102 9.447580 20.698104 40.325027 74.880175